There have been many events over the last week or so that warranted me going through all my projections and tweaking them, so I have updated all my positional rankings tonight (the team pages have not been updated).
Here are the highlights:
It appears that JT O'Sullivan will actually be the opening day starter for the 49ers. Right now I have him projected to start about 10 games, and for Alex Smith to start the remaining 6.
Josh Morgan looks to be starting for the 49ers at wideout, so his numbers were increased.
Rudi Johnson is still nursing the hamstring injuries that plagued him last year. It looks like he is now in a time share with Chris Perry, so I increased Perry's carries and reduced Johnson's.
Chris Henry is back with the Bengals, so I added him back in with about 35 catches. Chad Johnson's injury is rumored to be worse than the Bengals are letting on, but I haven't changed his numbers yet (his variance was already artifically high).
Miles Austin will miss about 3 weeks of the regular season, so his numbers go down to the benefit of Sam Hurd.
Kevin Smith is now starting in place of Tatum Bell, so Smith goes up, Bell comes down. I also increased Bell's variance, as it is now possible that he could be cut.
Andre Hall looks to be getting the short-yardage work in Denver, so his touchdowns are up at the expense of Selvin Young.
I have rewarded Calvin Johnson for his excellent preseason by increases his catches at the expense of Roy Williams. Both receivers are now projected for 74 grabs.
Matt Lienart looks like he will be the starter in Arizona, so I moved most of the Cardinals' passes to him. This hurt the Arizona receivers slightly.
Kyle Orton won the job in Chicago, so he gets the lion's share of the passes there. This did not affect the Bear's receivers much (i.e. you still don't want them on your team).
Ricky Williams may take a lot of early time from Ronnie Brown, and I now have them projected for the same number of carries through the season. Due to YPC and variance, however; Brown is still the better pick.
The Texans running back is now a committee of Ahman Green, Chris Brown, and Steve Slayton, but no one knows the mix. I put them all with 110 carries. Again, you don't want any of them. Maybe Slayton once both Green and Brown are injured (which will be about the 3rd quarter of week 1).
Joe Horn has been released, so he is off the chart.
Matt Hasselbeck's back has been hassling him (sorry), so his variance will be raised until we find out more.
Tuesday, August 19, 2008
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