Since I now have a house full of evacuees, I may not get to post very often, if at all, this weekend. So let me put in quick-note form some of the things that I was thinking about writing over the next few days and probably won't get a chance to do:
I saw one site this week (I forget who) mention that you should "sell high" on Randy Moss this week. That is absurd. From my analysis earlier in the week, I think Moss is still the #5 WR in the league, so there is no way you will be getting value for him. If you try to trade him, your trade partner will know that you are concerned about him losing Brady and will try to get him for much less than he is worth. Right now, while people are unsure what the Patriots offense will look like, Randy Moss's value is lower than it has been since his Oakland days. How is that "selling high?" I think Moss will become Cassel's security blanket and still put up very good numbers.
Speaking of the Patriots, we need to examine the load that we expect Sammie Morris and Laurency Maroney to carry. We are projecting that the Patriots will run the ball 100 more times (6 times per game) than they would have with Brady at the helm. Who will get those carries? Without going into a lot of detail, I think it will be Morris, who becomes a legit RB3. We can do a detailed analysis next week, when we will have a game's worth of data to analyze.
With Alex Smith going on injured reserve, JT O'Sullivan now looks like the full-time starter in San Fransisco. JT should be owned in all leagues, so if he is available in yours and you don't like your QB2, take a chance on O'Sullivan.
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