Friday, September 26, 2008

Week 4 Matchups - Passing Game

Attached are the match ups for week 4. The column titled "Def PYds" is the amount of passing yards the team gives up, compared to a league-average defense. For example, the Ravens give up 56% as many passing yards as a league-average defense. The column titled "Def PTDs" is the amount of passing TDs the team gives up, compared to a league-average defense.

Team Def PYds Def PTDs Opponent
Ravens 56% 73% Steelers
49ers 67% 48% Saints
Redskins 70% 68% Cowboys
Steelers 73% 68% Ravens
Titans 77% 61% Vikings
Cowboys 78% 67% Redskins
Falcons 80% 90% Panthers
Panthers 86% 84% Falcons
Cardinals 89% 53% Jets
Bengals 89% 72% Browns
Packers 92% 91% Buccaneers
Rams 92% 191% Bills
Chiefs 97% 101% Broncos
Texans 98% 143% Jaguars
Bills 100% 88% Rams
Jets 102% 103% Cardinals
Jaguars 102% 90% Texans
Browns 108% 58% Bengals
Vikings 110% 70% Titans
Eagles 110% 55% Bears
Buccaneers 113% 179% Packers
Saints 123% 81% 49ers
Bears 124% 78% Eagles
Raiders 124% 95% Chargers
Broncos 152% 128% Chiefs
Chargers 168% 204% Raiders

The only top passing defense that I don't buy into is the 49ers, who have such a porous run defense that no one really needs to pass on them. The Saints will probably throw this weekend, and have success, so I wouldn't downgrade Brees any due to opponent (who he is going to throw to, on the other hand, is a different concern).

Every other defense above the Falcons are legitimately good (the Falcons have the same terrible run defense problem as the 49ers), so you might want to downgrade the passing games of their opponents.

The five teams on the bottom of this list, with the exception of the Chargers, have serious and real pass defense problems. So, I would feel good about starting QBs and receivers from the 49ers, Eagles, and Chargers this weekend. The Chiefs might get a boost, and I would start Bowe or Gonzalez, but I cannot bring myself to recommend Damon Haurd.

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