Friday, October 10, 2008

Weekly Projections are Here!

Sorry for the lack of posts this week, but I have been furiously working on my TPV database program to spit out weekly projections for all players. I will be posting the numbers shortly. These should be taken with the following grains of salt:

They are based on players' TPV performance to date, and the TPV performance of the defense that they are facing this week. It does not take into account any real or perceived change in role. For example, I think my prediction for Le'Ron McClain against the Colts is way to high, because he will not get the 16 carries that TPV predicts based upon Willis McGahee's return to semi-health. I have not had time to cull through and sanity-check these numbers, now that the system is automated, I should be able to start doing that next week.

Each player is ranked by fantasy points. These are based upon 1 point for 20 yards passing, 4 points for a passing TD, -2 points for an interception, 1 point for 10 yards rushing/receiving, and 6 points for a rushing/receiving touchdown.

0 comments: