Tampa Bay Buccaneers 2008 Projections

"Var" stands for variance, which is a measure, in percentage, of a players week-to-week fluctuation in statistics. A low variance is a consistent player, a high variance is an inconsistent player.

Passing Stats

Name	Pos	Team	Comp	Att	Yards	TDs	Ints	Yard Var	TD Var
Jeff Garcia	QB	TB	224	350	2652	17	8	11	23
Brian Griese	QB	TB	50	80	584	3	3	23	42
Total			274	430	3236	20	11

Receiving Stats

Name		Team	Rec	Yards	TDs	Yard Var	TD Var
Joey Galloway	WR	TB	42	682	4	16	37
Ike Hilliard	WR	TB	40	493	2	15	97
Michael Clayton	WR	TB	33	451	3	22	0
Antonio Bryant	WR	TB	24	377	2	30	80
Alex Smith	TE	TB	28	268	3	18	74
Earnest Graham	RB	TB	36	244	0	24	0
Jerramy Stevens	TE	TB	14	160	2	27	49
Maurice Stovall	WR	TB	12	137	1	43	89
BJ Askew	RB	TB	14	119	0	25	0
Ben Troupe	TE	TB	10	103	2	20	70
Dexter Jackson	WR	TB	8	82	0	30	80
Chad Lucas	WR	TB	4	62	0	0	0
Cadilac Williams	RB	TB	7	40	0	46	0
John Gilmore	TE	TB	2	19	0	20	70
Total			274	3236	20

Rushing Stats

Name		Rush	Yards	TDs	Fum	Yard Var	TD Var
Earnest Graham	RB	225	951	11	1	16	29
Warrick Dunn	RB	80	305	1	0	15	43
Cadillac Williams	RB	64	251	4	1	10	72
Jeff Garcia	QB	35	126	1	2	40	96
Brian Griese	QB	12	37	0	2	28	0
Michael Clayton	WR	5	26	0	0	78	0
Total		421	1696	17	6

Defensive Ratings

Category	Rating
Passing Yards	950
Passing TDs	750
Rushing Yards	1000
Rushing TDs	1250

Seattle Seahawks 2008 Projections

"Var" stands for variance, which is a measure, in percentage, of a players week-to-week fluctuation in statistics. A low variance is a consistent player, a high variance is an inconsistent player.

Passing Stats

Name	Pos	Comp	Att	Yards	TDs	Ints	Yard Var	TD Var
Matt Hasselbeck	QB	326	520	3705	23	14	6	12
Seneca Wallace	QB	12	20	136	1	1	81	87
Total		338	540	3841	24	15

Receiving Stats

Name	Pos	Rec	Yards	TDs	Yard Var	TD Var
Nate Burleson	WR	53	740	9	17	28
Bobby Engram	WR	59	725	4	8	34
Deon Branch	WR	31	414	3	17	40
Courtney Taylor	WR	33	336	2	25	0
Jeb Putzier	TE	24	318	2	25	75
Ben Obomanu	WR	18	275	1	31	94
Leonard Weaver	RB	33	273	1	18	0
Maurice Morris	RB	22	170	1	21	95
Julius Jones	RB	19	155	1	30	80
Will Heller	TE	19	138	2	27	67
John Carlson	TE	10	102	0	30	80
Logan Payne	WR	10	102	0	30	80
TJ Duckett	WR	5	44	0	30	80
Seneca Wallace	QB	2	41	0	15	0
Total		338	3833	25

Rushing Stats

Name	Pos	Rush	Yards	TDs	Fum	Yard Var	TD Var
Maurice Morris	RB	180	769	4	1	17	43
Julius Jones	RB	180	698	2	2	20	60
Leonard Weaver	RB	30	134	1	0	29	96
Matt Hasselbeck	QB	39	88	0	7	28	0
TJ Duckett	RB	10	40	0	0	30	80
Owen Schmitt	RB	7	24	0	0	30	80
Seneca Wallace	QB	4	21	0	1	52	0
Total		450	1774	7	11

Defensive Ratings

Category	Rating
Passing Yards	1052
Passing TDs	800
Rushing Yards	1050
Rushing TDs	1400

San Francisco 49ers 2008 Projections

"Var" stands for variance, which is a measure, in percentage, of a players week-to-week fluctuation in statistics. A low variance is a consistent player, a high variance is an inconsistent player.

Passing Stats

Name	Pos	Comp	Att	Yards	TDs	Ints	Yard Var	TD Var
Alex Smith	QB	207	350	2417	10	7	21	64
Shaun Hill	QB	155	242	1605	12	5	5	44
Total		362	592	4022	22	12

Receiving Stats

Name	Pos	Rec	Yards	TDs	Yard Var	TD Var
Issac Bruce	WR	55	774	4	16	45
Vernon Davis	TE	55	663	4	16	45
Byrant Johnson	WR	50	638	4	17	69
Arnaz Battle	WR	50	603	4	15	37
Frank Gore	RB	70	577	3	21	97
Delanie Walker	WR	20	179	1	29	95
Deshaun Foster	RB	20	159	2	30	80
Jason Hill	WR	10	121	0	30	80
Josh Morgan	WR	10	121	0	30	80
Ashley Lelie	WR	5	86	0	33	0
Michael Robinson	RB	11	66	1	49	0
Moran Norris	RB	6	36	0	35	0
Total		362	4023	23

Rushing Stats

Name	Pos	Rush	Yards	TDs	Fum	Yard Var	TD Var
Frank Gore	RB	240	1175	5	2	9	54
Deshaun Foster	RB	30	119	0	1	15	45
Michael Robinson	RB	20	75	0	1	44	0
Alex Smith	QB	13	52	0	6	41	0
Shuan Hill	QB	12	11	0	2	59	82
Total		315	1433	5	12

Defensive Ratings

Category	Rating
Passing Yards	1090
Passing TDs	1000
Rushing Yards	1027
Rushing TDs	1083

St Louis Rams 2008 Projections

"Var" stands for variance, which is a measure, in percentage, of a players week-to-week fluctuation in statistics. A low variance is a consistent player, a high variance is an inconsistent player.

Passing Stats

Name	Pos	Comp	Att	Yards	TDs	Ints	Yard Var	TD Var
Marc Bulger	QB	277	418	3110	16	15	12	30
Trent Green	QB	52	82	583	3	2	32	47
Total		329	500	3693	19	17

Receiving Stats

Name	Pos	Rec	Yards	TDs	Yard Var	TD Var
Torry Holt	WR	88	1162	6	10	29
Drew Bennett	WR	47	687	5	18	52
Randy McMichael	TE	57	631	4	14	53
Steven Jackson	RB	47	396	2	22	96
Kennan Burton	WR	19	193	1	30	80
Donnie Avery	WR	13	185	1	30	80
Brian Leonard	RB	19	118	0	22	0
Travis Minor	RB	9	55	0	30	0
Anthony Becht	TE	6	55	0	0	0
Antonio Pittman	RB	9	55	0	52	0
Marques Hagans	WR	4	49	0	51	0
Reche Caldwell	WR	4	49	0	30	80
Joel Klopfenstein	TE	2	20	0	67	71
Dante Hall	WR	2	20	0	52	0
Dane Looker	WR	3	18	0	14	0
Total		329	3693	19

Rushing Stats

Name	Rush	Yards	TDs	Fum	Yard Var	TD Var
Steven Jackson	325	1349	9	4	10	40
Antonio Pittman	75	285	1	0	34	0
Brian Leonard	50	173	0	0	32	0
Travis Minor	20	79	0	0	54	0
Marc Bulger	20	30	0	5	144	0
Dante Hall	3	18	0	0	34	0
Derek Stanley	1	5	0	0	0	0
Total	494	1939	10	9

Defensive Rating

Category	Rating
Passing Yards	1050
Passing TDs	1000
Rushing Yards	1100
Rushing TDS	1300

27 Down, 5 to go

I still have 5 more teams to do 2008 raw projections for, then I will be done with the lengthy stuff. Of course, these projections won't be completely done until the season starts on September 4 (I already have adjusted some stats in my projection files and will get them on-line as soon as I can), but going through each teams entire off-season player movement, draft, etc. takes about an hour and half, so now I can concentrate on day-to-day news from each team's training camp.

Once I have the raw projections done, I will immediately begin work on the following:
1. Use defensive ratings to turn raw projections into actual projections
1a. Remove Week 17 from actual projections
2. Use variance to identify consistent players
3. "Reward" players for statistics gathered in fantasy playoff weeks (15-16)
4. Post lists of players by position
5. Compare our rankings with average draft positions in online leagues

I will go into more detail on each of these 5 steps as I work on them, but that is what we have in store. Enjoy.

Philadelphia Eagles 2008 Ratings

"Var" stands for variance, which is a measure, in percentage, of a players week-to-week fluctuation in statistics. A low variance is a consistent player, a high variance is an inconsistent player.

Passing Stats

Name	Pos	Comp	Att	Yards	TDs	Ints	Yard Var	TD Var
Donovan McNabb	QB	289	470	3425	21	10	9	24
Kevin Kolb	QB	55	100	607	2	3	23	50
Total		344	570	4032	23	13

Receiving Stats

Name	Pos	Rec	Yards	TDs	Yard Var	TD Var
Reggie Brown	WR	67	957	6	14	46
Kevin Curtis	WR	70	923	5	16	47
Brian Westbrook	RB	72	657	4	13	52
LJ Smith	TE	48	547	5	22	94
DeSean Jackson	WR	24	238	1	20	60
Hank Baskett	WR	10	158	1	18	94
Brent Celek	TE	14	149	1	22	94
Jason Avant	WR	10	109	0	21	64
Matt Schobel	TE	10	99	1	13	95
Lorenzo Booker	RB	10	84	0	30	70
Greg Lewis	WR	5	66	0	33	70
Correll Buckhalter	RB	5	50	0	32	0
Total		345	4038	23

Rushing Stats

Name	Pos	Rush	Yards	TDs	Fum	Yard Var	TD Var
Brian Westbrook	RB	225	1028	7	2	7	35
Correll Buckhalter	RB	60	262	2	1	34	54
Lorenzo Booker	RB	50	219	2	1	30	60
Donavon McNabb	QB	30	160	2	9	26	70
Reggie Brown	WR	5	34	0	1	12	0
Tony Hunt	RB	15	29	1	0	36	89
Kevin Kolb	QB	7	21	0	0	40	0
Total		392	1754	14	14

Defensive Ratings

Category	Rating
Passing Yards	920
Passing TDs	700
Rushing Yards	850
Rushing TDs	800

New York Giants 2008 Projections

"Var" stands for variance, which is a measure, in percentage, of a players week-to-week fluctuation in statistics. A low variance is a consistent player, a high variance is an inconsistent player.

Passing Stats

Name	Pos	Comp	Att	Yards	TDs	Ints	Yard Var	TD Var
Eli Manning	QB	292	529	3447	21	17	8	20
David Carr	QB	8	15	96	0	1	20	40
Total		300	544	3542	22	17

Receiving Stats

Name	Pos	Rec	Yards	TDs	Yard Var	TD Var
Plaxico Burress	WR	73	1105	9	18	30
Amani Toomer	WR	53	736	4	12	52
Steven Smith	WR	52	501	3	28	70
Kevin Boss	TE	37	467	4	33	56
Brandon Jacobs	RB	31	284	2	27	63
Mario Manningham	WR	10	138	1	25	75
Sinorce Moss	WR	10	93	0	18	0
Ahmad Bradshaw	RB	10	58	0	58	0
Derrick Ward	RB	8	53	0	14	94
Madison Hedgecock	RB	6	39	0	18	0
David Tyree	WR	4	39	0	57	0
Michael Matthews	TE	6	29	0	12	0
Total		300	3542	22

Rushing

Name	Pos	Rush	Yards	TDs	Fum	Yard Var	TD Var
Brandon Jacobs	RB	250	1085	9	5	11	52
Ahmad Bradshaw	RB	115	488	2	1	30	80
Derrick Ward	RB	70	297	1	2	19	46
Eli Manning	QB	30	60	1	9	40	96
Total		465	1931	12	17

Defensive Ratings

Category	Rating
Passing Yards	950
Passing TDs	1050
Rushing Yards	950
Rushing TDs	950

New Orleans Saints 2008 Projections

"Var" stands for variance, which is a measure, in percentage, of a players week-to-week fluctuation in statistics. A low variance is a consistent player, a high variance is an inconsistent player.

Passing Stats

Name	Comp	Att	Yards	TDs	Ints	Yard Var	TD Var
Drew Brees	400	600	4614	26	16	5	18
Total	400	600	4614	26	16

Receiving Stats

Name	Pos	Rec	Yards	TDs	Yard Var	TD Var
Marques Colston	WR	97	1366	12	13	32
Jeremy Shockey	TE	63	760	6	19	50
Reggie Bush	RB	77	587	3	14	65
Robert Meachem	WR	33	533	2	30	80
David Patten	WR	34	522	2	17	52
Duece McAllister	RB	29	227	0	34	0
Billy Miller	TE	14	148	0	20	65
Pierre Thomas	RB	16	148	1	57	82
Lance Moore	WR	10	95	0	19	65
Terrance Copper	WR	10	95	0	22	63
Mike Karney	RB	10	69	0	14	0
Aaron Stecker	RB	6	42	0	23	0
Devery Henderson	WR	1	21	0	21	51
Total		400	4613	26

Rushing Stats

Name	Pos	Rush	Yards	TDs	Fum	Yard Var	TD Var
Reggie Bush	RB	110	428	4	6	15	61
Aaron Stecker	RB	15	62	0	0	24	60
Pierre Thomas	RB	75	347	3	0	33	94
Duece McAllister	RB	200	904	9	1	33	80
Drew Brees	QB	23	48	1	9	32	96
Mike Karney	RB	11	21	1	0	72	62
Total		434	1810	18	16

Defensive Ratings

Category	Rating
Passing Yards	1100
Passing TDs	1300
Rushing Yards	920
Rushing TDs	800

Minnesota Vikings 2008 Projections

"Var" stands for variance, which is a measure, in percentage, of a players week-to-week fluctuation in statistics. A low variance is a consistent player, a high variance is an inconsistent player.

Passing Stats

Name	Pos	Comp	Att	Yards	TDs	Ints	Yard Var	TD Var
Tarvaris Jackson	QB	240	400	2786	13	14	10	26
Brooks Bollinger	QB	33	50	394	1	1	27	87
Total		273	450	3179	14	15

Receiving Stats

Name	Pos	Rec	Yards	TDs	Yard Var	TD Var
Bernard Berrian	WR	56	837	5	12	39
Sidney Rice	WR	52	637	5	22	41
Bobby Wade	WR	36	410	1	15	72
Visanthe Shiancoe	TE	31	327	1	28	95
Adrian Peterson	RB	25	287	1	23	95
Robert Ferguson	WR	20	255	1	20	95
Chester Taylor	RB	25	177	0	20	0
Aundrae Allison	WR	8	96	0	31	0
Jeff Dugan	RB	14	96	0	37	0
Jimmy Kleinsasser	TE	4	34	0	42	87
Garrett Mills	TE	2	24	0	0	0
Total		273	3179	14

Rushing Stats

Name	Pos	Rush	Yards	TDs	Fum	Yard Var	TD Var
Adrian Peterson	RB	294	1388	17	4	21	40
Chester Taylor	RB	140	632	4	3	14	38
Tavaris Jackson	QB	30	151	3	5	17	80
Jeff Dugan	RB	6	21	0	0	7	0
Total		470	2192	25	12

Defensive Ratings

Category	Rating
Passing Yards	1300
Passing TDs	1200
Rushing Yards	800
Rushing TDs	700

Green Bay Packers 2008 Projections

"Var" stands for variance, which is a measure, in percentage, of a players week-to-week fluctuation in statistics. A low variance is a consistent player, a high variance is an inconsistent player.

Passing Stats

Name	Pos	Comp	Att	Yards	TDs	Ints	Yard Var	TD Var
Aaron Rodgers	QB	345	550	4152	16	11	15	25
Total		345	550	4152	16	11

Receiving Stats

Name		Rec	Yards	TDs	Yard Var	TD Var
Donald Driver	WR	80	1122	5	12	66
Greg Jennings	WR	60	956	8	13	18
James Jones	WR	48	697	1	15	65
Donald Lee	TE	33	373	1	17	40
Ruvell Martin	WR	14	229	1	20	59
Jordy Nelson	WR	14	229	1	30	70
Ryan Grant	TB	38	161	0	30	0
Brandon Jackson	RB	19	146	0	17	0
Tory Humphrey	TE	14	113	0	17	45
Vernand Morency	RB	9	54	0	16	80
Korey Hall	RB	7	40	0	36	0
DeShaun Wynn	RB	4	28	0	12	0
John Kuhn	RB	1	3	0	25	0
Total		341	4151	17

Rushing Stats

Name	Pos	Rush	Yards	TDs	Fum	Yard Var	TD Var
Ryan Grant	RB	250	994	9	1	30	70
Brandon Jackson	RB	60	210	1	0	35	94
DeShawn Wynn	RB	40	155	1	0	30	49
Aaron Rodgers	QB	27	97	0	0	76	0
Vernand Morency	RB	15	61	0	1	31	0
Donald Driver	WR	3	10	0	0	50	0
Jon Ryan	RB	2	8	0	0	71	0
Total		397	1535	11	2

Defensive Ratings

Category	Rating
Passing Yards	1030
Passing TDs	1100
Rushing Yards	975
Rushing TDs	900

Detroit Lions 2008 Projections

"Var" stands for variance, which is a measure, in percentage, of a players week-to-week fluctuation in statistics. A low variance is a consistent player, a high variance is an inconsistent player.

Passing Stats

Name	Pos	Comp	Att	Yards	TDs	Ints	Yard Var	TD Var
Jon Kitna	QB	288	520	3654	19	19	9	24
Total		288	520	3654	19	19

Receiving Stats

Name	Pos	Rec	Yards	TDs	Yard Var	TD Var
Roy Williams	WR	82	1255	8	22	42
Calvin Johnson	WR	66	1051	6	12	44
Shaun McDonald	WR	43	517	2	13	33
Mike Furrey	WR	22	244	1	12	96
Sean McHugh	TE	16	228	1	25	0
Tatum Bell	RB	27	111	1	29	0
Kevin Smith	RB	11	79	0	30	80
Aveion Cason	RB	5	54	0	39	0
Brian Calhoun	RB	5	33	0	22	0
Casey Fitzsimmons	TE	2	21	0	26	93
Jon Bradley	RB	5	21	0	40	0
Troy Walters	WR	1	11	0	26	93
Brandon Middleton	WR	1	10	0	21	82
Dan Campbell	TE	1	10	0	0	0
John Owens	TE	1	9	0	0	0
Total		288	3654	18

Rushing Stats

Name	Pos	Rush	Yards	TDs	Fum	Yard Var	TD Var
Tatum Bell	RB	200	786	5	1	23	89
Kevin Smith	RB	100	355	3	2	30	80
Brian Calhoun	RB	50	187	1	0	24	0
Jon Kitna	QB	20	58	0	7	32	0
Avion Cason	RB	12	38	0	2	42	0
Calvin Johnson	WR	3	29	1	1	50	91
Jon Bradley	RB	5	10	0	1	19	0
Roy Williams	WR	2	10	0	1	214	0
Total		392	1472	9	15

Defensive Ratings

Category	Rating
Passing Yards	1100
Passing TDs	1300
Rushing Yards	1100
Rushing TDs	1300